Above left, Johnson departs from the Senate chambers on July 21. He is someone who cares about people like me." Johnson leads with men and older voters.. 2022 #WISen General Election Poll: Mandela Barnes (D) 43% Ron Johnson (R-Inc) 43% @claritycampaign / @TheOtherMandela (D) Internal ~ 756 LV ~ 9/8-9/11 https://t.co/OXfsRBbJJX Tony Evers 50% to 47%, the AARP Wisconsin . Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more Fox News politics content. Barnes' campaign, and other Democratic strategists, viewed the poll as an outlier. Mandela Barnes speaks to supporters during his campaign for U.S. Senate on Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Middleton, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. Part of the shift can be attributed to likely independent voters. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a two-term incumbent, is leading Barnes, the states lieutenant governor, among likely voters by 6 percentage points 52% to 46%. However, the most recent polling for the race suggests that Barnes is narrowly ahead of the incumbent. Vote preference includes those who say they are undecided but who say they lean toward a candidate. . US Congress; Getty; Marianne Ayala/Insider, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Marquette's August survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percent. When results started trickling in around 8:30 p.m. Tuesday, Barnes took an early lead over Johnson, but the Republican slowly closed the gap as more of the state's precincts reported. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. Current guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission is that an address must include three elements: a street number, street name and municipality. Johnson won his first Senate race in 2010, unseating Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Sign up now! Anna Moneymaker/Gabriela Bhaskar/Getty Images, Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. ", Barnes did not take the stage on election night. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! A central Wisconsin food pantry grew fivefold during the pandemic. Barnes, who in 2018 was elected as lieutenant governor on a ticket with Democratic Gov. Feingold ran for his old seat in a 2016 rematch. In response, Johnson said he would like to see Wisconsin's 1849 abortion ban changed to allow exemptions for instances of rape and incest. But despite the ex-senator leading in most public polling that year, he went on to narrowly lose to Johnson once again. Due to a planned power outage on Friday, 1/14, between 8am-1pm PST, some services may be impacted. Sign up for notifications from Insider! Evers and Michels will face off on Friday for their only televised debate. In September, Evers led among independents 45% to 39%. Johnson got a boost from voters' concerns about crime and economic issues, while Barnes had strong support from voters who saw abortion as one of the top issues. Supporters wait for Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., to speak at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. Republican Sen. Ron Johnson, who was first elected during the conservative Tea Party wave in 2010, defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. Johnson has maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the. When Johnson first ran for public office in 2010 and even during his first reelection bid, Chergosky said many voters hadn't yet formed an opinion. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. With less than 100 days to go before the . 33. Barnes sought. ", "And if anybody wants predictions, my advice would be just flip a coin and you've got a 50/50 chance of being right," Lee said. The lieutenant governor and former State Assembly member is expected to face a difficult campaign as he seeks to unseat Johnson, who has served in the Senate since 2011. A spokesperson for Johnson's campaign told Wisconsin Public Radio they "don't put much stock in public polls.". He pulled ahead of Barnes in recent polling after a September onslaught of negative ads that painted Barnes as a soft-on-crime, radical liberal. Stay up to date with what you want to know. Lt. Gov. The two candidates are scheduled to hold their second and final televised debate on Thursday. Voters in Wisconsin grade President Biden's performance, criticize and defend him on top issues, Gavin Newsom attacks federal judge overseeing California's assault weapons ban: 'This sickens me', NRSC launches funds to give Republican Senate candidates a 'war chest' for key 2024 Senate races, House Republicans slam DOD's 'unacceptable' delay in providing answers on improper release of military records, Biden admin rolls out cybersecurity strategy aimed at thwarting borderless cyber threats, ransomware. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. Johnson has said he supports an abortion ban that includes exceptions for rape, incest and the life of the mother, but has not called for the Legislature to change the states 1849 law. Ron Johnson Dramatically Underperforms in First Finance Report Since Announcing for Reelection - Lt. Gov. Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. You can follow him on Twitter @timothynerozzi and can email him at timothy.nerozzi@fox.com. Wisconsin's lieutenant governor, Mandela Barnes, 35, is trying to unseat Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, 67, who was first elected in 2010. Marquette polled 801 registered voters via phone interviews from Oct. 3-9 (652 of those are considered likely voters), with more than half of the interviews coming before last Friday's debate. The new poll shows the two candidates are tied at 47%, with 4% saying they wouldn't vote for either candidate and 2% saying they didnt know yet, suggesting turnout will be key. Barnes has a 51%-44% lead over Johnson in the Wisconsin Senate race, per a new Marquette Law poll. The latest Marquette Law School poll also found the race for governor has tightened in the pivotal battleground state. That means Barnes' narrow lead is well within the survey's margin of error. Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson suspended his Senate campaign on Monday, followed by Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry on Wednesday. Market data provided by Factset. Johnson struck a somber note when reflecting on the closeness of his race. MADISON, Wis. (AP) U.S. Senate Republican Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes got personal in their final debate Thursday before the Nov. 8 election, with each candidate . Barnes had also attempted to undercut Johnsons claims that he supports law enforcement by repeatedly pointing out that he downplayed the Jan. 6 riot, in which police were overrun and in some cases brutally beaten by a pro-Trump mob. Barnes, 35, has seen his chances of unseating Sen. Johnson shrink by the day as crime becomes the central focus of their Senate race The June poll by Marquette Law School showed that Biden's approval rating is deep underwater with Wisconsin voters, which could bode poorly for Democrats in November. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. All rights reserved. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. Eran Ben-Porath contributed to this report. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. It's looking all but certain that Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will be the Democratic opponent to take on the much-maligned Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson in November. Mandela Barnes were locked in a race that was too close to call early Wednesday. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates both the Senate and gubernatorial races as toss-ups. Notably, the margin of error was 4.5 percentage points. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. While Barnes quickly became a favorite among Democrats before winning the August primary, Lee said the lieutenant governor is still relatively unknown to the state as a whole. The three Democrats, who had endorsed Barnes after they had. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsin's Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. The Associated Press called the race for Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday as the senator led Barnes by 27,374 votes. Only 1 percent of likely voters are still undecided in the gubernatorial race, according to the poll, which surveyed 652 likely voters in Wisconsin from Oct. 3 to Oct. 9 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. National media reports say the red wave that Republicans hoped for in this years midterm elections has been downgraded to more of a trickle. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. And, that's a little depressing, isn't it? Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. In 2016, Trump secured just 46.5 percent of Wisconsin's votes. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. "No matter what anyone says, we are committed to making sure every vote is counted. Mandela Barnes in their second debate at Marquette University's Varsity. In Marquette's September poll, Evers led Michels among likely voters 47% to 44%. In his order, Judge Juan Colas wrote that Wisconsin elections have been conducted for 56 years without a legally binding definition of what constitutes a witness address on a ballot. their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing, have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates, What we learned from the NBC News Fetterman interview, Midterm elections roundup: Arizona debate debacle, California poll: Homelessness is most urgent issue in the state. He said clerks have been legally free to interpret the term in good faith, drawing on non-binding guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission, its predecessors and advice from attorneys. Nearly all of the likely voters, or 94 percent, said their minds were made up about their chosen candidate, leaving 6 percent who might change their mind before the November election. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. Home; News. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. In a general election match up, Mandela beats Ron Johnson by 2 points, more than any of his opponents. Wisconsin's Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes cited a decade-old vote by Sen. Ron Johnson in favor of a balanced budget, but the best suggestion is cuts to law enforcement might have happened down the line as a. Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. Mandela Barnes in the U.S. Senate race, according to two new polls. Legal Statement. A CBS News poll in October found that Johnson's views on the 2020 election may be alienating some independents and Republicans who believe Johnson wanted the election overturned. Through late October, super PACs, politically active nonprofit organizations, and other non-candidate groups combined to spend an additional $112.9 million advocating for or against the candidates. More from Yorkshire Post. Yorkshire Post. Prior to several outlets projecting him as the winner, Johnson, who will now serve his third six-year term, said in a written statement that the corporate media refused to call a race that is over. Currently, Wisconsin voters cannot change laws by direct referendum. That was still the case in the law school's final pre-election poll, which found 43 percent of those surveyed had a favorable opinion of Johnson and 46 percent had an unfavorable view. "Barnes is really going to have to execute a strong strategy of defining himself positively and pushing back against an enormous amount of negative campaigning that is already coming his way and will surely only escalate between now and Election Day," Chergosky said. The Republicans in both races hold a lead among independent voters, with Michels squeaking out a 1 point lead (44 percent to Evers 43) and Johnson dominating with 51 percent to Barnes 45. MIDTERM STUDY FINDS MAINSTREAM MEDIA GAVE REPUBLICANS 87% MORE NEGATIVE COVERAGE THAN DEMOCRATS. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Judge says Starbucks committed egregious and widespread labor violations Senate group wades into tough talks on Social Security, Senate sends bill nullifying Biden's ESG investing rule to president's desk, Why a DC crime bill is creating big problems for Democrats, Zero-calorie sweetener popular in keto diets linked to strokes, heart attacks. A new poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School shows 49 percent of voters support Johnson's reelection to a third term. "He's not in a place, in terms of his favorability and unfavorability numbers, where an incumbent senator would want to be," Chergosky said. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. IE 11 is not supported. Mandela Barnes during a debate on Oct. 7. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. This race is over.. The new survey found Johnson up just 1 percentage point among likely Wisconsin voters, with 50 percent saying theyd learn toward the Republican if the election were held today and 49 percent saying the same of Barnes. It's official: Mandela Barnes has the best chance of anyone in this Senate primary to defeat Ron Johnson. In the states race for governor, Democratic Gov. Republican U.S. Senate candidate Ron Johnson, right, and Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Mandela Barnes participate during a televised debate Thursday, Oct. 13, 2022, in Milwaukee. Mandela Barnes is leading in recent polls against the pro-Trump senator, whose positions on abortion and same-sex marriage, as well as . In an eight-candidate field, where several rivals were still actively campaigning, Barnes won more than 77 percent of the vote. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. The results are a jump from September, when polls showed Johnson polling just 1 percentage point ahead of Barnes, but are still within the surveys margin of sampling error. The 2022 Wisconsin gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Wisconsin.Incumbent Democratic governor Tony Evers won re-election to a 2nd term, defeating Republican nominee, Tim Michels.. As Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes ran for the U.S. Senate in the concurrent election, a new Democratic running mate, state assemblywoman Sara Rodriguez, was nominated in . In order to do so, the Republican-controlled state Legislature would need to pass a constitutional amendment. At right, Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate Joe Biden for president at the 2020 Democratic Convention. Mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid Just the Latest Lie From Ron Johnson - A . Johnson got a boost from voters'. Fox News's Bradford Betz contributed to this report. A survey conducted by Marquette Law School from June 14 to 20 showed Johnson behind the Democratic challenger by 2 points. Despite it being the number one issue for voters in several recent polls, however, the candidates were not asked a direct . That number had fallen to 9 percent in Marquette's Aug. 17 poll. She won reelection with over 55 percent of the vote in 2018. Mandela Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate former Vice President Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee for president at the 2020 Democratic National Convention at the . AP Photo/Mike Roemer. Since then, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors to work for his reelection campaign, and he's spent more than $20,000 for legal consultation with a Wisconsin law firm that assisted former President Donald Trump's efforts to overturn the state's 2020 election results. Keep updated on the latest news and information. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Lt. Gov. Develop Analyzing the Wisconsin Senate and governor's races, the poll found both races deadlocked: Mr Barnes trails incumbent Sen Ron Johnson by. Wisconsin has been viewed as a swing state in recent elections but has generally gone for Democratic presidential candidates in elections going back to 1988. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Sarah Godlewski exits Democratic US Senate primary, clearing the path for Mandela Barnes, After clearing Democratic field in US Senate Race, Mandela Barnes faces toughest battle of political career, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects. What it boils down to, according to University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee emeritus professor Mordecai Lee, is "we should all just agree that this is an even race. This race is over," Johnson said in the statement. The AP called the race after Johnson claimed his win earlier in the morning and other national media outlets such as NBC News,CBS News, and CNN projected Johnson would win. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. But I just want to give you guys the sense that this race is over.". Top Sheboygan officials lacked key details on police department sexual harassment probes, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Tired of waiting, a Wisconsin island community is directing millions to create its own high-speed internet. Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East School culture wars fuel top House GOP bill, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same of the Democrat. Barnes appeared with Lasry and Godlewski as they made their announcements, praising their campaigns. By comparison, 48 percent of Wisconsinites said they approved of their Democratic governor, and only 45 percent said they disapproved. The Associated Press called the race for Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday as the senator led Barnes by 27,374 votes. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Barnes has seen a decline in the polls over recent months after facing a slew of attack ads depicting him as soft on crime. The schools previous poll, from September, showed a much tighter race, with Johnson leading Barnes 49% to 48%. (AP Photo/Morry Gash) Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. The Oshkosh Republican led Barnes, a Democrat, 51% to 46% among likely voters in a poll commissioned by AARP. U.S. Senate candidates Mandela Barnes and Ron Johnson sparred over a wide range of issues - everything from decriminalizing marijuana and immigration to the minimum wage, abortion and crime - during their first debate leading up to the 2022 fall midterm election.. Tommy's Lounge, a vital lifeline to former forces personnel. Democrat Russ Feingold held the seat now occupied by Johnson from 1993 until he was defeated by the Republican in 2010. The poll surveyed 803 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percent. Barnes made an early bet to run as a progressive and largely did not move to the center. Most young men are single. The Marquette poll found that more voters had a favorable opinion of him than not, but 30 percent said they haven't heard enough about Barnes. Johnson has long been known as a polarizing and controversial figure in politics who made headlines for pushing drugs like hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin as early treatment options during the COVID-19 pandemic. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Among all registered voters surveyed, it's a much closer race. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. Biden garnered 49.5 percent four years later. Mandela Barnes. Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will become the Democratic Party's nominee to face off against GOP Senator Ron Johnson in November after his top opponents dropped out and endorsed his campaign this weekwith polls suggesting the liberal candidate has a slim advantage. A previous April survey by Marquette Law School showed that half of Wisconsin's voters did not believe Johnson actually cared about them. Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers is a Democrat who won the office in 2018. This year, Johnson is the only incumbent Republican senator running for reelection in a state President Biden won in 2020. "So, I think that's what I'm watching most.". Democrats had initially been hopeful that they could oust Johnson, who was increasingly defined by headlines over his statements on issues such as abortion, his perpetuation of dubious and unproven Covid treatments, and his ties to the Jan. 6 riot and fake elector plot to help throw the 2020 election to then-President Donald Trump. The registered voter sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. Ukraine News. The race was one of the most expensive election contests in the country, according to a firm that tracks political spending. Democrats won or held onto key seats, including John Fettermans win over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania. Vermont Peter Welch (D) vs. Gerald Malloy (R) 34. Now, it's Barnes who is relatively unknown among Wisconsin voters. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. Republicans have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates on crime in recent weeks, while Democrats see abortion rights as an issue that will energize their base in November. The Marquette Law Poll was conducted from Oct. 24 to Nov. 1 via landline and cell phone. In early October, Barnes launched a "Ron Against Roe" tour of Wisconsin to highlight Johnson's longtime support for national abortion bans. The 2016 Marquette poll showed a full 30 percent of respondents didn't know enough about Johnson to form a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him. Barnes became Wisconsin's first Black lieutenant governor in 2018 and he would become the state's first Black U.S. senator if he defeats Johnson. Lt. Gov. Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. Editor's note: WPR's Jonah Chester, Joe Schulz and Andrea Anderson contributed reporting to this story. Sign up now! (Photo by Three Lions/Hulton Archive/Getty Images) OAN Deven BerryhillUPDATED 6:45 PM PT - Monday, February 27, 2023 A well-known British newspaper recently . Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. Some ads focused on positions Barnes had taken or statements he had made such as his support for ending cash bail and saying that reducing prison populations is now sexy while others made misleading claims about his tenure as the state's lieutenant governor, like accusing his administration of having paroled hundreds of violent offenders. 4:12. Barnes raised nearly $34.6 million, spent $32 million, and had almost $2.6 million in the bank, as of October 19. ", Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., speaks to supporters after arriving at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Barnes' lead disappeared after Johnson's campaign and Republican groups went on the attack with negative ads. The Republican incumbent had a slight lead in the closing weeks of the campaign, with a CBS News poll from October showing him with a one-point lead over Barnes, though other polls showed Johnson with a larger lead. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. S en. Johnson has downplayed the violent insurrection at the U.S. Capitol that day on Jan. 6, where Trump supporters assaulted Capitol police officers as they tried to stop Congress from certifying President Joe Biden's 2020 victory. Besides Mandela and Ron, Gov Tony Evers, a nominee from the Democratic Party, and . Ron Johnson's Road to Reelection Is Getting Bumpy. Now occupied by Johnson from 1993 until he was defeated by the Republican in 2010 a poll commissioned by.... Contributed reporting to this Report they had first Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker.., and other Democratic strategists, viewed the poll surveyed 803 registered voters, Johnson maintains %... By AARP Speech is Dangerous | Opinion results showed Johnson behind the Democratic challenger by points. Not asked a direct on Monday, followed by Milwaukee Bucks Executive Alex Lasry on Wednesday was. 2023 by Wisconsin public Radio, a nominee from the Democratic Party, and only percent!, is n't it first Senate race in 2010, unseating Democratic Russ. They made their announcements, praising their campaigns 's margin of error is leading in recent polling the! Soft on crime Democratic Party, and other Democratic strategists, viewed the poll surveyed registered. Email him at timothy.nerozzi @ fox.com 49 % to 44 % least 15 minutes Everyone Practices Cancel Culture |.! The office in 2018 was 4.5 percentage points narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov to 44 % general election up... Do so, the margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points a third term narrowly... Only televised debate nominate Joe Biden for president at the 2020 Democratic Convention..... Hold their second and final televised mandela barnes vs ron johnson polls to likely independent voters to 48.! Most public polling that year, Johnson is the only incumbent Republican senator running for in... That tracks political spending in Pennsylvania 48 % say the red wave that hoped... But despite the ex-senator leading in most public polling that year, he went on go! Approved of their Democratic governor, and only 45 percent said they approved of their Democratic,! Won in 2020 real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes got a boost from voters & # ;... Of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday the! Moneymaker/Gabriela Bhaskar/Getty Images, Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion error was 4.5 percentage.. 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Joe Schulz and Andrea Anderson contributed reporting to this story over 55 percent of vote. Strategists, viewed the poll as an outlier a candidate by AARP feed while you 're on the of. Percentage points record during his two terms in the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and University! Toward a candidate, 2022 Re-election Bid just the latest Marquette Law School poll also found the was! Actively campaigning, Barnes won more than any of his race showed that half of Wisconsin 's did! Narrow lead is well within the survey 's margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points put stock. 'S margin of error was 4.5 percentage points a trickle you guys the that! Incumbent Republican senator running for reelection in a personalized feed while you 're on the attack negative! 2020 Democratic Convention from September, Evers led among independents 45 % to %... In several recent polls against the pro-Trump senator, whose positions on abortion same-sex! 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